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Massey Ratings

A least-squares fit where every game says 'A's rating minus B's rating should be about this margin', solved across all games at once.

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Linear algebra over the whole schedule — fair rankings from messy fixtures. The formula and explanation below describe Massey Ratings.

How it works About 1 min read

Massey Ratings, developed by Kenneth Massey, use score differentials in a least-squares framework to produce ratings that reflect not just who won, but by how much.

How it works: It sets up a system of equations where each game contributes a row: rating_A - rating_B ≈ margin. The least-squares solution minimizes prediction error across all games. The result captures both win/loss information AND margin quality.

When to use it: Score-based competitions where the size of victory carries meaningful information (e.g., basketball, where beating a team by 30 says more than beating them by 1). Also used in college sports ranking systems.

Watch out for: Requires meaningful score data -- won't work with placement-only or winner-only results. Running up the score is rewarded, which may not match your group's values. Consider capping margins if sportsmanship is a concern.

Will it fit your results?
Works well with

Games whose results this method reads cleanly

Also in Matrix Methods

Linear algebra over the whole schedule — fair rankings from messy fixtures.

Massey Ratings — How You Rank