Massey Ratings
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Linear algebra over the whole schedule — fair rankings from messy fixtures. The formula and explanation below describe Massey Ratings.
How it works About 1 min read
Massey Ratings, developed by Kenneth Massey, use score differentials in a least-squares framework to produce ratings that reflect not just who won, but by how much.
How it works: It sets up a system of equations where each game contributes a row: rating_A - rating_B ≈ margin. The least-squares solution minimizes prediction error across all games. The result captures both win/loss information AND margin quality.
When to use it: Score-based competitions where the size of victory carries meaningful information (e.g., basketball, where beating a team by 30 says more than beating them by 1). Also used in college sports ranking systems.
Watch out for: Requires meaningful score data -- won't work with placement-only or winner-only results. Running up the score is rewarded, which may not match your group's values. Consider capping margins if sportsmanship is a concern.
Will it fit your results?
Also in Matrix Methods
Linear algebra over the whole schedule — fair rankings from messy fixtures.